Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 71.894192 80.934455 90.209400 100.405170 111.267704 122.465596 134.852616
2025-02-16 57.357038 70.209590 84.024273 99.849040 117.351904 136.005171 157.275259
2025-02-23 49.290698 64.283751 80.960833 100.623676 122.924647 147.206937 175.425114
2025-03-02 42.647605 59.013629 77.796171 100.509486 126.825598 155.992186 190.407976
2025-03-09 37.730050 55.151010 75.718655 101.147864 131.149856 164.894643 205.210875
2025-03-16 32.732300 50.663426 72.455094 99.994394 133.058560 170.767525 216.342497
2025-03-23 29.750488 48.400452 71.632411 101.529060 137.934098 179.913366 231.109070
2025-03-30 27.302411 46.586438 71.172007 103.339587 143.009022 189.199624 245.975920
2025-04-06 24.114527 43.488735 68.850524 102.649051 144.906914 194.626097 256.249746
2025-04-13 20.667819 39.713844 65.395218 100.310080 144.606865 197.295602 263.163309
2025-04-20 19.725156 39.440564 66.513021 103.762397 151.429691 208.487319 280.170094
2025-04-27 18.418695 38.508357 66.654809 105.886628 156.554049 217.609369 294.712882
2025-05-04 16.110975 35.879319 64.358786 104.756254 157.570419 221.773905 303.402002
2025-05-11 14.062499 33.457712 62.207267 103.702917 158.601875 225.904972 312.024786
2025-05-18 12.770707 32.139306 61.536676 104.567708 162.038517 232.962684 324.170456
2025-05-25 11.340157 30.436629 60.199719 104.440062 164.129514 238.312470 334.215421
2025-06-01 10.242409 29.200530 59.474358 105.095002 167.199161 244.857663 345.711976
2025-06-08 8.828284 27.219060 57.502636 103.914243 167.782189 248.234568 353.284243
2025-06-15 8.142913 26.544953 57.499856 105.484905 171.995915 256.184601 366.503650
2025-06-22 7.570457 26.030847 57.710747 107.337575 176.576321 264.601541 380.315685
2025-06-29 6.560557 24.489506 56.194709 106.631000 177.669042 268.549437 388.560232
2025-07-06 5.370748 22.364135 53.595550 104.237374 176.395088 269.409016 392.906906
2025-07-13 5.249826 22.643408 54.998506 107.770186 183.225870 280.711703 410.356943